行业投入产出技术系数与行业获利性波动识别

企业经营环境外部系统因素的不确定性是影响企业所有者与经营者之间委托代理问题解决的主要因素,目前还没有文献系统建立企业经营环境信息的识别方法。本文利用技术效率评价中的理论来研究企业经营环境信息的识别问题。基于(k,y)空间的生产可能集与技术效率发展了描述不同行业投入产出差别的技术系数,给出行业获利性波动的时序识别方法。这些方法对弱化企业所有者与经营者之间信息非对称程度,解决二者之间的委托代理问题提供了一个有效途径。     

Equilibrium charges of multi-period allocation mechanisms for network services

Several new network services require a periodical resource allocation. For this purpose several auction-based multi-period allocation mechanisms have been proposed. This article derives explicitly resulting equilibrium charges in a simple mathematical model, i.e., constant session holding times, identical bandwidth request and independently identically uniformly distributed bids for the multi-period VCG and the PRENORM mechanism. In the same manner the expected revenue of the network provider can be calculated. Moreover, the analysis leads to an important condition for the protection parameter α of the PRENORM mechanism, such that the charging system does not break down. This research was partly financed by the Austrian Science Fund under contract number P18161-N13 (“Control of heterogenous systems”).     

基于Stackelberg博弈的时变双层交通分配模型

提出一个时变双层交通分配模型,其中上层网络管理者设立了一个路段的最大排队长度,其目标是使由网络流和排队长度定义的总出行时间最小.目标函数在离散时段内以路段流量和排队长度作为决策变量,同时考虑不同类型的信号交叉口延误的影响.下层网络用户的反应依赖于上层管理者的决策,其选择是使自身感知阻抗最小的路径,服从一个基于成对组合Logit的路径选择模型,构成一个成对组合Logit的均衡分配问题.结合了交通分配和流传播方法,将其表示为一个均衡约束下的双层数学规划问题,形成了一个Stackelberg非合作博弈.使用遗传算法求解该双层规划问题,并采用实证分析来表现模型的特征和算法的计算表现.结果表明路径重叠、路段流量、路段排队长度等因素对网络均衡流分布均有显著影响.     

BASIC EQUATIONS, THEORY AND PRINCIPLE OF COMPUTATIONAL STOCK MARKET (Ⅲ)—BASIC THEORIES

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Semiglobal practical integral input-to-state stability for a family of parameterized discrete-time interconnected systems with application to sampled-data control systems

Semiglobal practical integral input-to-state stability (SP-iISS) for a feedback interconnection of two discrete-time subsystems is given. We construct a Lyapunov function from the sum of nonlinearly-weighted Lyapunov functions of individual subsystems. In particular, we consider two main cases. The former gives SP-iISS for the interconnected system when both subsystems are semiglobally practically integral input-to-state stable. The latter investigates SP-iISS for the overall system when one of subsystems is allowed to be semiglobally practically input-to-state stable. Moreover, SP-iISS for discrete-time cascades and a feedback interconnection including a semiglobally practically integral input-to-state stable subsystem and a static subsystem are given. As an application of the results, these can be exploited in controller design for a sampled-data system in the framework proposed in Nešić et al. (1999) and Nešić and Angeli (2002). We illustrate such a controller design via an example.     

Sensitivity Analysis of Asset Flow Differential Equations and Volatility Comparison of Two Related Variables

In this study, I apply forward sensitivity analysis to the dynamical system of nonlinear asset flow differential equations (AFDEs). I find that all parameters in AFDEs are needed and can be estimated from market prices and net asset values data. Moreover, the market price is the most fluctuating state variable, and the coefficient for the trend-based investor' sentiment is the dominant parameter. Furthermore, I define and compare the extreme value-based volatilities of market price and net asset value for closed-end funds. I find that the extreme value-based volatility of market price is higher than that of net asset value for the vast majority of closed-end funds for both overlapping and non-overlapping cases.     

基于W-SVM的民营环保企业信用风险预警模型

2019年中国绿色债券发行量依旧稳居世界前列,成为民营环保企业重要融资渠道,但是2018年至今,大量环保企业信用风险事件频发为我们敲响了警钟,构建合适的民营环保企业信用风险预警机制迫在眉睫.环保产业属于新兴产业,并以国有企业为主导,民营企业的样本数据具有样本量小,维度高等特征,这导致传统的信用风险模型适用性不强.因此选用加权支持向量机模型,对不同类别样本采取不同权值,选取大量财务特征,最终构建出风险预警模型．研究发现加权支持向量机模型具有十分优秀的预警性能.环保企业本身具有资金回收周期较长并且项目前期投入较高等特点,建议加强财务管理,保障资产流动性,建立完善产业链.     

制造业企业的股权结构对企业绩效影响的实证研究

股权结构是企业有效治理的基础,优化股权结构是提高企业绩效的关键.对此国内外学者进行了相关研究,但结果并不一致.在综合考虑了企业的生命周期和行业性质的前提下,探讨了股权结构对企业绩效的影响,选取制造业行业1190家企业2012-2015年的相关变量数据,首先采用主成分综合得分法计算出企业绩效,之后选用现金流组合法按照各自所处的生命周期对企业进行分类,最后在各时期内分别构建回归模型来分析股权结构对企业绩效的作用,并进行了模型验证.股权集中度对企业绩效的影响分为三类：处于导入期、成熟期和淘汰期的企业影响关系呈正U型,处于增长期的企业与其绩效显著负相关,衰退期企业的影响并不显著.股权制衡度对企业绩效的影响分为两类：处于成熟期、淘汰期的企业影响关系呈倒U型,导入期、增长期、衰退期影响则不显著.     

基于主成分分析的广东省邮电业发展状况研究

通过主成分分析方法,选取2006、2011和2016年广东省各市邮电业务数据,对广东省21个地级市的邮政和通信事业发展状况进行分析和发展水平层次划分,从时间和地域空间两个维度对广东省各地区邮电业发展情况进行排名分组.结果表明,当前广东省各地区邮电业发展状况存在显著的地区差异.